Tools/Bill Predictor

🎯 AI Bill Passage Predictor

Estimate the probability of an AI bill passing based on key factors.

0%20%

📊 Methodology

This predictor uses a factor-based model informed by Brookings Institution research on state-level AI legislation trends.

Base Rates by Category

  • Responsible Governance38.6%
  • Consumer Protection18%
  • Employment/Workforce12%
  • Healthcare AI22%
  • Deepfakes/Content Auth28%
  • Education15%
  • Autonomous Vehicles20%
  • General AI Safety10%

Adjustment Factors

  • Bipartisan sponsor+15%
  • Same party as state majority+8%
  • Existing AI law in state+5%
  • High tech sector (>10% GDP)-3%
  • Each co-sponsor (cap +15%)+1.5%